One of the major reasons behind the dominance of Counter-Strike 2 in the FPS gaming genre is the game’s vast skin market. With the Steam market containing countless cosmetic items for players to pick from, there’s something for every player out there.
While there are a bunch of methods to get weapon skins in CS2, one of the most popular methods is unboxing them via case openings. Every single day, thousands of CS2 players are opening cases in hopes of getting a rare knife or the fabled million-dollar Blue Gem Karambit.
However, many players often underestimate just how rare it is to obtain a knife in CS2.
Luckily, Valve has already revealed the exact odds of obtaining each rarity of skins through case unboxing. Taking a look at the official CS2 case odds, not only can you get a better idea about your chances of getting your dream knife, but it can also help you calculate your risk before investing in a particular case.
CS2 Case Opening Odds
Without further ado, let’s check out the exact odds of obtaining items from each rarity tier when opening a CS2 case:
- Mil-Spec Grade (Blue) – 79.92%
- Restricted (Purple) – 15.98%
- Classified (Pink) – 3.2%
- Covert (Red) – 0.64%
- Exceedingly Rare (Gold) – 0.26%
Taking a glance at the list, we can see that the chances of getting a gold item from a case are only 0.26%, which means that roughly 1 knife in 385 case openings will net you a knife drop. Furthermore, if you’re aiming for a specific knife, the odds become even slimmer, dropping significantly as you factor in the number of available knife options.
